Help
Subscribe


GastroHep.com - the global online resource for all aspects of gastroenterology, hepatology and endoscopy

 12 December 2017

Advanced search
GastroHep.com - the global online resource for all aspects of gastroenterology, hepatology and endoscopy Profile of Roy Pounder

Home

News  
Journals
Review Articles
Slide Atlas
Video Clips
Online Books
Advanced Digestive Endoscopy
Classical Cases
Conference Diary
PubMed
International GH Links
USA GH Links
National GH Links
National GI Societies
Other Useful Links




Emails on Gastroenterology and Hepatology
the National AIDS Treatment Advocacy Project
Visit the gastroenterology section of the EUMS

News

Simulation of growth trajectories of childhood obesity into adulthood

This week's New England Journal of Medicine estimates the risk of adult obesity for the current population of children in the United States.

News image

Although the current obesity epidemic has been well documented in children and adults, less is known about long-term risks of adult obesity for a given child at his or her present age and weight.

Dr Zachary Ward and colleagues developed a simulation model to estimate the risk of adult obesity at the age of 35 years for the current population of children in the United States.

The team evaluated pooled height and weight data from 5 nationally representative longitudinal studies totaling 176,720 observations from 41,567 children and adults.

The researchers simulated growth trajectories across the life course and adjusted for secular trends.

The relative risk of adult obesity increased to 3.10 for 19-year-olds
New England Journal of Medicine

The team created 1000 virtual populations of 1 million children through the age of 19 years that were representative of the 2016 population of the United States and projected their trajectories in height and weight up to the age of 35 years.

Severe obesity was defined as a body-mass index of 35 or higher in adults and 120% or more of the 95th percentile in children.

Given the current level of childhood obesity, the models predicted that a majority of today’s children will be obese at the age of 35 years, and roughly half of the projected prevalence will occur during childhood.

The researchers noted that the relative risk of adult obesity increased with age and BMI, from 1.17 for overweight 2-year-olds to 3.10 for 19-year-olds with severe obesity.

For children with severe obesity, the team observed that the chance they will no longer be obese at the age of 35 years fell from 21% at the age of 2 years to 6% at the age of 19 years.

Dr Ward's team concludes, "On the basis of our simulation models, childhood obesity and overweight will continue to be a major health problem in the United States."

"Early development of obesity predicted obesity in adulthood, especially for children who were severely obese."

N Engl J Med 2017; 377:2145-2153
05 December 2017

Go to top of page Email this page Email this page to a colleague

 12 December 2017 
Risk factors in undiagnosed cirrhosis
 12 December 2017 
Monitored anesthesia care for outpatient GI endoscopy
 12 December 2017 
High-risk colorectal cancer patients
 06 December 2017 
Preventing hepatic encephalopathy-related readmissions
 06 December 2017 
Reflux-induced chronic cough 
 06 December 2017 
Systemic inflammatory response syndrome in acute-on-chronic liver failure
 05 December 2017 
Childhood obesity into adulthood
 05 December 2017 
CT imaging for acute diverticulitis
 05 December 2017 
Thiopurines and colorectal cancer in IBD
 04 December 2017 
Neoadjuvant chemoradiation for locally advanced rectal cancer
 04 December 2017 
Physical activity and Barrett’s esophagus
 04 December 2017 
Alcohol abstinence and alcoholic hepatitis
 01 December 2017 
Therapeutic drug monitoring in IBD
 01 December 2017 
Insulin therapy and liver cancer among diabetics
 01 December 2017 
Family burden of pediatric Crohn's in the USA
 30 November 2017 
Anastomotic leak after repeat intestinal resection in Crohn’s
 30 November 2017 
Oral capsule– vs colonoscopy-delivered fecal microbiota transplant
 30 November 2017 
Sessile serrated polyps and H. pylori in the USA
 29 November 2017 
Medical cannabinoid legalization policy and vomiting
 29 November 2017 
Predicting mortality after colectomy for C. diff
 29 November 2017 
Obesity and cancer risk
 28 November 2017 
Celiac disease screening in adult first-degree relatives
 28 November 2017 
Electronic health record alert in primary care in Hep C
 28 November 2017 
Surgical treatment delays and colon cancer survival
 27 November 2017 
Challenges in measuring the affordability of US health care
 27 November 2017 
Questionnaire fore chronic constipation
 27 November 2017 
Early readmission in IBD patients
 24 November 2017 
Osteoporotic fractures in Barrett's esophagus
 24 November 2017 
Center ERCP volume and procedure success
 24 November 2017 
Adipokines and IBD
 23 November 2017 
Incidence of biopsy-verified celiac disease
 23 November 2017 
Pharmacological management of GERD
 23 November 2017 
Distance travelling for rectal cancer outcomes
 22 November 2017 
Challenges of US-trained gastroenterologists when abroad
 22 November 2017 
Surgical treatment delays influence survival in colon cancer
 22 November 2017 
Golimumab in Crohn's disease
 21 November 2017 
Preoperative optimization in IBD patients
 21 November 2017 
Cholangiopathy in critically ill patients
 21 November 2017 
Prepregnancy obesity and maternal mortality
 20 November 2017 
Socioeconomic characteristics in diverticular disease
 20 November 2017 
Barriers to hepatitis C treatment
 20 November 2017 
Endoscopic indices of disease activity for Crohn’s
 17 November 2017 
Predicting microscopic colitis
 17 November 2017 
Food elimination diets for treatment of adults with eosinophilic esophagitis
 17 November 2017 
PPI use and cognitive function in women
 16 November 2017 
NAFLD-hepatocellular carcinoma and survival after orthotopic liver transplant
 16 November 2017 
Prepregnancy obesity and severe maternal morbidity
 16 November 2017 
Celiac disease screening in adult first-degree relatives
 15 November 2017 
Breastfeeding and the risk of IBD
 15 November 2017 
Predicting recurrence after curative rectal cancer surgery
 15 November 2017 
Medication nonadherence and health care costs
 14 November 2017 
Eosinophilic gastroenteritis and colitis
 14 November 2017 
HBV/HCV coinfection and cirrhosis
 14 November 2017 
Sexual dysfunction after rectal cancer surgery
 13 November 2017 
Genetic polymorphisms, fatty acids and ulcerative colitis
 13 November 2017 
Flares after immunomodulator withdrawal in Crohn's
 13 November 2017 
GI bleeding in patients taking non–vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants
 10 November 2017 
Thiopurines vs TNF and lymphoma risk in IBD
 10 November 2017 
Drug monitoring of anti-tumour necrosis factor therapy in IBD
 10 November 2017 
Treatment decisions for older patients with colorectal cancer

Blackwell Publishing


GastroHep.com is a Blackwell Publishing registered trademark
© 2017 Wiley-Blackwell and GastroHep.com and contributors
Privacy Statement
Disclaimer
About Us